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Fuel volatility threatens Australia’s mining production

BDO Australia reports that fuel volatility is hitting the heart of Australia’s mining sector, threatening production continuity, while also compressing margins and forcing strategic decisions in real-time.

Risk Advisory Partner Anand Raniga says diesel supply disruptions and sustained price volatility are no longer cyclical pressures but structural challenges for mining operations where fuel is a core production dependency.

“In mining, diesel is not discretionary spend, it powers haul fleets, underpins output, and directly impacts unit costs,” Raniga says.

“Recent geopolitical instability has exposed critical weaknesses in fuel management, rapidly elevating the issue to board-level priority.

“Supply chains remain fragile, with disruptions quickly translating into higher delivered costs, particularly for remote and logistics-intensive mining operations.”

Raniga notes that at the same time, regulatory and stakeholder scrutiny is increasing, particularly around climate disclosures and the credibility of transition planning.

“Persistently high diesel prices are also reshaping operating economics for fuel-intensive businesses with limited ability to pass on costs.”

Despite these pressures, many mining companies are continuing to manage fuel with a level of informality that would be unacceptable for other high-value inputs.

BDO says questions around fuel dependency, production flexibility, and the assumptions underpinning transition strategies are becoming more urgent and more complex.

“Organisations need granular visibility of fuel consumption, clearer accountability, and a robust understanding of supply and price exposure before making broader strategic decisions,” Raniga adds.

“Treating the current disruption as temporary risks higher transition costs and reactive decision-making. Mining companies that act early to strengthen fuel governance can stabilise margins, protect production, and preserve strategic flexibility in an increasingly volatile environment.”

Write to Aaliyah Rogan at Mining.com.au

Images: BDO
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Written By Aaliyah Rogan
Originally from New Zealand, Aaliyah brings several years of experience covering the resources sector, with a focus on companies, commodities and global mining markets. Her reporting has spanned European markets and the evolving global mining landscape, with a focus on the stories and market forces driving change across the sector.