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Saxo’s ‘outrageous predictions’ 2025: Nvidia to lead AI gold rush

Armed with its revolutionary AI chips, could tech giant Nvidia (NASDAQ:NDVA) grow to twice Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) size and become the most profitable company of all time?

Global online trading and investment company Saxo has released its annual Outrageous Predictions for 2025. In Saxo’s series of ‘outrageous predictions’ for 2025, Saxo’s Chief Macro Strategist John J. Hardy makes another out-there, yet plausible predictions.

These are a series of predictions that, while highly unlikely, could just happen. And if they did, they would send shockwaves across the financial markets, says Hardy. They are not official forecasts but rather suggestions to spark discussions and challenge consensus.

“The saying goes that in a gold rush, the only operators sure to make a fortune are the sellers of shovels, since most miners will fail to find any gold. What we are seeing in the AI space feels much like a gold rush, as the monopoly info-tech giants and a crush of start-ups have rushed to harness the golden promises of generative AI,” Saxo’s Chief Macro Strategist says.

“These stretch from Meta’s Metaverse to the incredible number-crunching loads to drive new applications like autonomous driving. The primary shovel-seller in the AI gold rush is Nvidia, designer of the juiced-up chips, and just as importantly, the software ecosystem at the heart of the lion’s share of AI data centres.

“In 2025, Nvidia’s success is supercharged further with the availability in volume of its revolutionary 208-billion transistor Blackwell chip, a chip that drives up to a 25-fold increase in performance of AI calculations per unit of energy consumed relative to the prior H100 generation.”

Hardy adds that with the intensifying AI arms race as no giant or even government wants to be left behind, and as AI data centre electricity costs have soared, the insatiable demand for the more powerful and yet less power-hungry Blackwell chips sees Nvidia taking the crown as the most profitable company of all time. 

“It handily surpasses Apple’s record US$105 billion of profits next year, and with far faster growth baked into expectations, its market cap nearly doubles again, making it twice the size of Apple,” he predicts.

“This sees it tower above all other companies in the world at a value of US$7 trillion, or 10% of the global equity market. Apple and other tech giants’ valuations suffer in relative terms, as their profitability is weighed down by the need to build titanic data centres to keep up in the AI gold rush.  

“Potential market impact – Nvidia shares trade well north of US$250, before the market begins to question its potential to grab an ever-greater share of corporate profits, and as unwelcome regulatory scrutiny on its monopoly status tempers the outlook.”

As Mining.com.au earlier this week reported, Apple is the most valuable brand in the world. In June this year, the tech behemoth became the first ever trillion-dollar brand and the world’s most valuable brand for the third year, according to a Kantar BrandZ global report.

The value of branding is also highlighted in Kantar’s recent brand valuation ranking and report, which is based on the opinions of more than 4.3 million respondents about 21,000 brands across 532 categories.

Write to Adam Orlando at Mining.com.au

Images: Igor-Omilaev (Unsplash)
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Written By Adam Orlando
Mining.com.au Editor-in-Chief Adam Orlando has more than 20 years’ experience in the media having held senior roles at various publications, including as Asia-Pacific Sector Head (Mining) at global newswire Acuris (formerly Mergermarket). Orlando has worked in newsrooms around the world including Hong Kong, Singapore, London, and Sydney.